EUR/USD. Forecast for October 8, 2013
Yesterday data on labor in the US was not revealed. Now it is not clear when Nonfarm Payrolls are to be issued; probably it will happen this week.
Today optimistic data on Europe is expected. Trade balance in Germany in August (at 10:00 UTC+4) is expected to be 15.1 billion euro vs. 14.5 billion in July; France’s trade balance is estimated to be -4.8 billion euro vs. -5.1 billion euro. At 14:00 UTC+4 data on Factory orders in Germany in August is issued; forecast 1.2% vs. -2.7% in July. If there is no other relevant news, the euro may enter the range 1.3591-1.3607. However, on the whole, the expectations are declining. The first target is the range 1.3537/42 (on the 4H), when the rate consolidates under it, we expect the decline to support of trend line on the daily chart, 1.3492.
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