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The USDCAD pair was declining for the second week except for some recovery observed on the last three trading days which is not that strong by the way.
Further bearishness is expected this week. This will leave the pair targeting further downside towards the 1.0100 level, where the lower limit of the bullish channel is located.
Another support stands around 1.0000 level and possibly lower towards the 0.9900 level.
On the other side, the pair will have to break and consolidate above 1.0250 initially and then 1.0379 levels to start over a short-term uptrend.
Reversal of the ongoing bearishness will probably target 1.0441 level where a breakthrough will aim at the 1.0500 level. However, the ongoing bearish scenario is still more expected.
This morning the British pound looked very bizarre in the American session, it moved without a clear direction. But also without the upward force shown in the previous days. The decline of British currency to 1.5640 could mean the beginning of medium-term downtrend. However, if you look at the chart, this pair is above the weekly pivot and below the 200-day EMA. It looks a bearish movement for the next few days will be observed, but since today relevant data will be revealed it is very likely to be volatile. Therefore, if the pair makes a pullback on the weekly R1 around 1.5799, you can sell only if the pair meets resistance, if you see this area fails you must wait until the next resistance to sell. We do not recommend buying at current levels because the Momentum Indicator is showing a bearish signal, which is most likely the decline of the pair.
This morning the British pound looked very bizarre in the American session, it moved without a clear direction. But also without the upward force shown in the previous days. The decline of British currency to 1.5640 could mean the beginning of medium-term downtrend. However, if you look at the chart, this pair is above the weekly pivot and below the 200-day EMA. It looks a bearish movement for the next few days will be observed, but since today relevant data will be revealed it is very likely to be volatile. Therefore, if the pair makes a pullback on the weekly R1 around 1.5799, you can sell only if the pair meets resistance, if you see this area fails you must wait until the next resistance to sell. We do not recommend buying at current levels because the Momentum Indicator is showing a bearish signal, which is most likely the decline of the pair.
The Australian dollar has been pushed down below the weekly pivot line, which is located at 0.9519. We see that it is still very difficult to sell the Aussie at this level again in the medium term. We hold our bearish outlook to the 0.9270 area, but in the coming days the pair may move upwards only if it is trading above 0.9520. So we recommend buying the pair only if on the H4 it is above this level. On the other hand, below 0.95 sales are secured to the first weekly support of 0.9375 and below even up 0.9181. The Momentum Indicator formed a bullish channel, due to that this channel has not been broken, it is likely that the Aussie gains bullish momentum to 0.9713.
If you need personal consultation, Skype: gerardofx or contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com
